
(C) Kristoffer Hell
Humanity recently entered a phase of cataclysmic biospheric destruction, consuming resources faster than the planet can replenish them: devastating ecosystems through soil degradation, species extinction, deforestation, water depletion, wetland loss, pollinator collapses, toxic contamination, and overfishing— just to name a few.
A recent study found that humanity's consumption relative to Earth's regenerative capacity surged from 73% in 1960 to 170% in 2016. The estimated sustainable carrying capacity of the United States is 200 million people. As of 2024, the US population was approximately 340 million.
In the oceans, industrial fishing armadas numbering in the thousands harvest marine ecosystems on the opposite side of the planet from their home ports, externalising their own carrying capacity failures and leaving ecological collapse in their wake. In South America, the Amazon rainforest has been converted into livestock pastures and feedcrop land—destroying the planet's largest primary biodiversity for meat export to East Asia, North America, and Europe.
And, at the end of this process, approximately 30-40% of the food goes to waste.
Rather than returning organic matter to soil, as traditional farming did, the waste goes into landfills, breaking the nutrient cycle and perpetuating the system's dependence on synthetic fertilisers.
The cause of the ecocide is globalised industrial food production driven by multinational corporations for profit and control; using a model characterised by intensive monoculture and factory farming using synthetic fertilisers which destroy the soil and water tables; appropriating seeds and genetic materials through patent privatisation; and distributing it all through centrally controlled global supply chains.
The situation is as novel as it is disturbing.
For most of its history, Homo sapiens existed in a functional equilibrium with its natural environment, the Earth's biosphere.
Viewing the situation as an engineering challenge: what would an alternative food production model that is sustainable look like?
Let's use the concept of last known good configuration to answer the question.
Humanity's last known good configuration for food production, we believe, was seen in the year of 1910: the final moment before synthetic nitrogen fertilisers severed the link between local nutrient cycles and food production.
Before this, local food production could not exceed local ecological carrying capacity. Nutrients came from organic matter returned to soil. Regional populations adapted to what their ecosystems could sustainably provide. Exceeding these limits triggered immediate consequences: crop failures, famine, migration.
The Haber-Bosch process, commercialised in 1913, shattered this natural constraint. Originally developed to liberate Germany from dependence on imported nitrates, it proved equally useful for manufacturing explosives when the First World War erupted a year later. The same chemistry that promised to "feed the world" also enabled industrial-scale warfare—foreshadowing synthetic nitrogen's contradictory legacy of temporary abundance followed by long-term ecological collapse.
The concept of the 1910 model is really simple: communities, countries, and regions need to be able to feed themselves without destroying their local ecosystems.
The scientific and technological advances made in the last 115 years need to be directed to support decentralised local food production rather than create dependencies on distant corporations or enable extraction beyond ecological limits.
Here are a few examples:
Decentralised water technologies restore local water independence. Treadle pumps with low-cost drip irrigation—foot-powered pumps lifting water from shallow wells to gravity-fed drip lines—have generated 68-395% income increases for smallholders across sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Atmospheric water generation, rainwater harvesting, and small-scale solar desalination provide drinking and irrigation water without fossil fuels or centralised infrastructure.
Community-scale technologies rebuild soil fertility without synthetic inputs. Small- scale biogas digesters convert waste into cooking fuel whilst bioslurry displaces synthetic fertilisers—Kenyan farmers report 50% reductions in firewood collection time alongside increased yields. Portable DNA sequencing assesses soil microbial health in real time, whilst biochar production and phosphorus recovery from waste streams maintain fertility, breaking dependency on finite mineral reserves.
A century ago, farmers maintained resilient local knowledge networks through village elders, harvest gatherings, and apprenticeships. Industrial agriculture hijacked and centralised this knowledge into research stations and corporate extension services.
Modern communication technologies can restore decentralised knowledge systems without replacing them. Offline-first mesh networks enable device-to-device sharing of agricultural knowledge without corporate platforms. Participatory video—farmers documenting local techniques on basic smartphones—achieves adoption rates seven times higher than centralised extension services at $2.20 per farmer versus $33 for conventional approaches. Simple SMS-based systems and low-power networks like LoRa enable real-time sharing of pest outbreaks, weather patterns, soil conditions, and market prices—even in remote areas without cellular infrastructure or smartphones. Free satellite imagery and environmental DNA sampling let communities track ecological recovery.
Decentralised renewable energy—solar panels and small-scale wind turbines— provides electricity for pumps, refrigeration, and processing without fossil fuel dependency. Appropriate mechanisation reduces labour without requiring industrial consolidation. Community seed banks preserve regional varieties whilst enabling peer-to-peer exchange, restoring the seed sovereignty destroyed by corporate patents.
Once communities and states embrace the 1910 framework, innovation accelerates in entirely new directions. Rather than engineering solutions to bypass ecological limits, human ingenuity focuses on enhancing productivity within them—driving innovation toward genuine sustainability.
Governments have a role in transitioning to the 1910 baseline framework. Following the subsidiarity principle—where decisions are made at the lowest level capable of addressing them effectively—governments serve best as facilitators rather than implementors.
The most effective support is subtractive: removing legal and economic barriers to local sustainable farming; redirecting agricultural subsidies from industrial monoculture toward regenerative systems; protecting communities from global market pressures and land speculation; supporting decentralised knowledge networks whilst resisting corporate enclosure of seeds, land, and information.